Tuesday, December 31, 2013

JT Comp holding short... Last one!

Note: This will be the last daily email you will receive. Beginning in 2014, I will only be sending an email alert/tweet when either the VIX55 or GDX55 systems are entering a trade. I realize some of you may not care to receive these emails any longer, so please email me at jtrader21 at gmail.com and I will remove you from the distribution list. 
 I will go into more detail on the new systems tomorrow.  I will also send a final email/tweet when the JT Composite exits it's current short position.

Again, for those of you not interested in trading volatility or gold miners, just let me know.   Thanks!

Monday, December 30, 2013


UVXY target hit so I'm back to cash. No new signals today. Jt comp remains short. Thx.

Friday, December 27, 2013


Nothing new today.  JTS and CCI remain short.  The VXX-55 system is still long UVXY from 15.88.... will hold for 4 more days or until hitting 16.67.  Thanks!

Thursday, December 26, 2013

100% Short TNA

Systems are in agreement again today - about midway thru the Santa rally. The JT Composite now moves to 100% short TNA, or long TZA if you wish. Additionally, the VXX system kicked off a buy signal (which in 2014 will officially be tracked here in favor of the JT Composite). I'm still developing a name, but since its goal is to earn 5% in 5 days, I'm considering going with "5-in-5" or "VIX 55". To get the 5%, it requires the use of the 2x UVXY (long and short) ETF rather than 1x VXX or XIV. Also as I've stated before, the system works with gold miners (GDX) so there will be a "GDX 55" system as well which will officially trade DUST/NUGT. The 55 system would probably work on plain GLD when trading UGLD and DGLD but I'm not too interested in those.

Again, more details on the "5-5" systems are forthcoming, but for now I will open a 50% position in UVXY at 15.88. Target (limit sell) price will be set for 16.67. I will scale into the position and if it goes lower, I will adjust the target sell price to 5% above my average buy-in.  Chances are good it could go lower considering the Santa rally lasts thru Jan 2.


Monday, December 23, 2013


JT Comp is 50% short but I'm sitting in cash for now. No new trades. Thanks!

Thursday, December 19, 2013

No changes

Nothing new to report. JTS remains short, CCI is sidelined. VXX/GDX systems are sidelined. I'm sidelined. See ya tomorrow!

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

50% short TNA

CCI is moving back to cash, but JTS is opening a short position in TNA today. My UVXY trade tagged 19.95 this morning and covered. I was happy at the time b/c shortly after, it was back to 21. Now look at it... :-/ Oh well, I'll take the 5%. I will remain in cash. I will wait for either a 100% JTComp signal or a GDX/VXX signal before getting back in the market. Thanks!

Monday, December 16, 2013

Hold XIV

No changes today. Systems remain long XIV. The new VIX system is shorting UVXY today. Looking for 5% profit within 5 days on this trade. Will discuss this more later...but I'll be grabbing UVXY shorts on the close. Thx!

Friday, December 13, 2013

Hold XIV

Nothing new today. Systems maintain their long XIV positions. No new trades with experimental systems to report. Have a great weekend!

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Hold XIV

No changes today. Both systems remain long, so I'll continue to hold XIV. No new GDX/VXX trades, although VXX is getting very close to a short signal. If VXX is up again tomorrow, most likely we'll be getting a short UVXY scenario looking for a quick 5% gain. See ya then!

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

100% long XIV

JT Composite flips to 100% long XIV on today's close as both systems are in agreement again. Buying some XIV here in AH. Thx!

Monday, December 9, 2013

100% cash

JTS remains long but CCI flips back to short. Opposing signals generate a neutral JT Composite stance. I'm sidelined and will remain that way. No new GDX/VXX trades today. Thx!

Friday, December 6, 2013

Hold longs.

Both systems remain long. My uvxy short covered on the open so I'm in cash. No new vxx/gdx trades today. Thx!

Thursday, December 5, 2013

Hold longs

All systems remain 100% long XIV. I'm taking money from yesterday's NUGT trade and shorting more UVXY. Thanks!

Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Hold signals

Systems will remain long. My NUGT trade hit target for quick 5% gain. Will continue to hold UVXY short, targeting 19.55. Thanks!

Tuesday, December 3, 2013

100% Long XIV

Both CCI and JTS are going long today. I'll ditch my TZA from Nov 22 for a small gain. This is where I would normally go long XIV. But incidentally, both my VIX and GDX systems are making moves today. Since I'm ditching the JTS and CCI in 2014, I'm going to try out these new systems officially here for the first time using real money. I'll be shorting UVXY and going long NUGT - looking for a 5% profit in each. There is a chance both could continue to move against me so I will hold back some cash just in case. Again, my exit will trigger on a 5% profit. Immediately after purchasing, I'll set a sell limit order and let them both ride. I'll give both trades around 5-6 days to hit my limit sell before I make a contingency exit. Thanks all for being patient as I transition to new strategies that are easier for me to follow/track/trade and should be significantly more profitable as well. We'll see about that last part... :)

Monday, December 2, 2013

Hold shorts

Hold signals yet again. Will continue to hold TZA. Thanks!

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Hold signals

Holding tza into Friday. Happy Thanksgiving!

Tuesday, November 26, 2013


All systems remain short. Will continue to hold. Thx...

Monday, November 25, 2013

Hold short

No changes today, I will continue to hold TZA. To update from a previous post, I'm still working out some kinks with a new volatility trading method that should go live in 2014 - trading XIV, VXX, or UVXY. I've found the same rules work very well for gold miners (GDX) as well, which means I'll be dabbling in DUST/NUGT. Coincidentally, the GDX test system went long NUGT on the open today, looking for a 10% gain as a trigger to exit. In the future, the target will likely be set at 5%. Get in, get a quick 5%, get out. More later! Thanks! J

Friday, November 22, 2013

100% short TNA

CCI flips back to short today, and with JTS already short the JT Composite system is moving back into a full short position. I'll follow along with a 75% TZA purchase. Thx and have a good weekend!

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Hold cash

Systems maintain opposite signals keeping the JT Composite and me sidelined in cash. Thanks!

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Back to cash

Jts remains short but cci flips to long. Selling tza and heading to sidelines. Thx!

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Hold shorts

Both systems remain short. Will continue to hold. Thx!

Monday, November 18, 2013

Staying short...

Systems are remaining short today.  I will continue to hold TZA.  Thanks!

Friday, November 15, 2013

Hold signals...

Holding 90% TZA over the weekend.  Have a good one! Thx all.

Thursday, November 14, 2013

No changes...

Systems remain short.  I just added to my TZA, which puts me 90% short, 10% cash.  More tomorrow, thanks!

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Hold short

More fun today...  It's been happening most of the year so at least I'm accustomed to it. All systems remain short.  I'll hold my TZA.  Thx!

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Holding short

Both systems hold the short position.  I will continue to hold TZA.  Thanks!

Monday, November 11, 2013

100% short TNA

Both systems are producing shorts signals today.  The JT Comp moves to 100% short.  I will follow along with a sizable position.  Thx!

Friday, November 8, 2013

Hold cash

Both systems will remain in cash.  Have a good weekend! 

Thursday, November 7, 2013

100% Cash again

Both systems are going to cover their short positions, but neither will go long yet. This puts the JT Composite back into cash. I will sell my TZA and VXX for a decent profit.... for a change! :)

I'm working on a new system which trades volatility. Feels good to be back in development mode after coasting the past 1-2 years. More on this project later.

 Thanks all.

Wednesday, November 6, 2013

100% Short TNA

CCI is coming into line with the JTS on the short side. The JT Composite flips to full short. I'll be buying some TZA on the close, and may even dabble with some VXX depending on my mood. Thanks and good luck!

Tuesday, November 5, 2013

Staying cash

Nothing has changed. The JTS remains short and the CCI stays long. I'll remain sidelined...thanks!

Monday, November 4, 2013

100% Cash

JTS moves to a short signal, but CCI remains long. JT Composite moves to the sidelines. I'll sell my XIV here. Thx!

Friday, November 1, 2013

100% Long XIV if....

If SPY closes 176.40 or lower, the CCI and also the JT Composite will go long. If not, the JTC and I will remain sidelined. Thanks!

Thursday, October 31, 2013

Hold cash

Systems remain opposed with JTS long and CCI short. I'll stay on the sidelines. Thanks!

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

100% Cash

Apologies for the late update, I've got a lot going on. The JTS gave a strong buy signal today but the CCI remains short. The JT Composite with opposing signals moves to 100% cash. I will exit my TZA here in after-hours and head to the sidelines. Thanks!

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

still holding ...

Nothing new. I remain short. Thx!

Monday, October 28, 2013


Systems remain short. I'll hold my position. Hope all had a good weekend. Thx!

Friday, October 25, 2013

Hold signals

Status quo continues. All systems will remain short. I'll hold TZA for now. Thanks and have a good weekend!

Wednesday, October 23, 2013


Systems remain short. Will continue to hold 90% TZA. Thanks!

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Still holding...

Nothing new again today. Systems remain short, as do I. Thx!

Monday, October 21, 2013


Nothing new today. All systems remain short. I'll hold TZA. Thx!

Friday, October 18, 2013

Hold shorts

Nothing new, both systems are short. I added to my TZA position today. I'm 90% now. Thanks!

Wednesday, October 16, 2013


Systems are remaining short. I will continue to hold. Will increase my position size tomorrow if TZA goes lower. Thx!

Monday, October 14, 2013


Both systems will hold the short. I'll keep my partial TZA riding another day. Thx.

Friday, October 11, 2013

100% short tna

Both systems move to short positions. Ill take a 50% portion of tza. Leaving some dry powder in case we keep rallying next week. thx!

Thursday, October 10, 2013


Both systems are selling today but not shorting. Too much strength. Possibly tomorrow tho. Jt comp and I will head to cash. Thx and congrats to those following along. J

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Holding TNA

Bought a 1/3rd TNA position on the close yesterday and then added another 1/3rd today closer to the daily low. So I'm still sitting with 1/3rd cash just in case. All systems advise holding the long position - at least for another day. See ya tomorrow. Thx.

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

JTS - Buy signal!

JTS joins the CCI on the long side today. JT Composite moves to 100% long TNA. No XIV for this trade due to backwardation in the VIX futures. I'm ditching my remaining TZA (finally!) and taking a partial TNA position. Thanks and good luck to all!

Monday, October 7, 2013

Still holding.

Nothing new again. CCI remains long and JTS short. I'll continue to hold for now. Thanks.

Friday, October 4, 2013

Hold signals...

The JT Composite system remains stuck in cash. I'll continue to hold for now. Enjoy the weekend!

Thursday, October 3, 2013


ATT's internet was down today and I was mobile - thus the late update. I was suprised the JTS didn't go long today. A down day tomorrow should almost certainly flip it long. The CCI remains long. A bounce seems likely but what do I know. I'm still holding my partial TZA position. C ya tomorrow. Thx!

Wednesday, October 2, 2013

Holding steady

Still no changes, systems are opposing each other and JT Comp remains cash. Will keep the short riding.... Thx.

Tuesday, October 1, 2013


Jts remains short and cci long. So no changes again today. Thx.

Monday, September 30, 2013


Hold signals. I will hold partial short. Thx!

Friday, September 27, 2013

Opposing signals

Jt composite remains sidelined. Ill keep hanging onto my partial tza position. Thx!

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

CCI long

CCI goes long today, but JTS remains short. JT Composite moves to 100% cash. I will cut back my short position but won't exit completely until JTS flips. Thx!

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Hold shorts

Was out catching some fish with my son at 4pm. Well he was catching, I wasn't. All systems remain on hold signals. A bit dismayed by strength of small caps recently but what can ya do. Thx and see ya tomorrow.

Monday, September 23, 2013

Hold signals

All systems remain short. I'll continue to hold. Thx!

Friday, September 20, 2013

Holding shorts

Both systems continue to hold the short position. So no changes again today. I'll be on a small family vacation most of next week which may make my presence around here even more sparse than normal. I'll do my best to post signals, especially if there is any change in direction. Thanks and have a good weekend. J

Thursday, September 19, 2013


Hold signals today. No changes. Thx!

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Fighting the fed...

I've apparently forgotten the 2 rules of trading, don't fight the fed, and whatever you do, don't fight the fed. All systems remain steadfastly short. I will continue to hold until my systems tell me not to, or until my account hits 0...whichever comes first. Thx for reading...

Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Hold signals

No changes today, patiently holding shorts waiting for a pullback that doesn't seem to want to come. See ya tomorrow.

Monday, September 16, 2013

The streak is broken. :)

Man, after a couple years of not missing an update I got completely sidetracked on Friday and forgot to post. It was a hold signal for all those counting. This busy stretch I'm in continued today and caused me to miss the pre-close update as well. Shameful. :) After an ugly open for bears, things eased as the day unfolded and losses were pared. Both systems continue to hold the short signal again today. Today's candle doesn't seem too bull friendly so I wouldn't be shocked to see a pullback in the near future. One can hope anyway... Thanks and we'll see you tomorrow! On time, Lord willing! J

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Hold shorts

All systems remain short again today, so no changes. I remain 90% TZA. Thx!

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Hold signals

Nothing new today. All systems remain short. Will continue to hold TZA. Thx.

Tuesday, September 10, 2013


All systems hold the short. Looks like it's gonna be another one of those trades... Not exactly how I envisioned this going. Oh well, I will hold for now. Thx.

Monday, September 9, 2013

Healthy - Still short

The JTS flips to healthy mode today thanks to the recent rally, but the system is also producing a healthy short signal. The CCI remains short as well, so I will continue to hold my large TZA position. The next leg down should be right around the corner. Thx.

Friday, September 6, 2013

Hold signals

I purchased some more TZA on the open, which puts me at 90% TZA. I will hold it all over the weekend. Thanks! J

Thursday, September 5, 2013

Hold signals

All systems remain short. I'm sitting at 2/3rd TZA and 1/3rd cash right now. I will not hesitate to add more TZA tomorrow morning. Thanks!

Wednesday, September 4, 2013

100% short TNA

Long position is closing. Both systems r shorting here. Going heavy tza. Thx!

Tuesday, September 3, 2013


All systems remain long. No changes to my position. Thx!

Friday, August 30, 2013

JTS Strong Buy

JTS finally goes long on an unhealthy strong buy signal. With CCI already long, the JT Composite moves to 100% long XIV. I'll be taking a 2/3rd position in XIV for now, keeping plenty in cash due to the fact we are unhealthy and things could continue down. Thanks all and good luck!

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Hold signals.

There were no changes today. JT Composite and I remain sidelined in cash. Thanks!

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Hold signals

JTS will remain short TNA while CCI holds its long position. That keeps the JT Comp and myself in cash. Chart looks like it wants to go down more, but end of Aug/early Sept seasonality is bullish. We'll see. Thx.

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

cci buys. jts short ...

Cci moves to a buy signal. Jts remains short. Jt comp moves to cash. Thx!

Monday, August 26, 2013

Hold signals

No changes today. Sidelined. Thx!

Friday, August 23, 2013


Nothing new today, the JT Composite remains 50% short.  I'll hang out in cash.   See you Monday...enjoy the weekend. 

Thursday, August 22, 2013

Holding cash

All systems hold.  The JT Comp will remain partially short, but I'll stay sidelined.  Thanks!

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

No changes.

The JT Composite system remains 50% short, with the JTS still short and the CCI in cash.  I will continue to spectate from the sidelines.  Thanks.

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

CCI Sells. 50% Short TNA

CCI sells out of its long position as a cautionary move.  There still may be some upside follow through the next few days, but the CCI system is seeing too much risk to remain long. The JTS will stay short.  Thus the JT Composite moves to 50% short TNA.  I'm going to remain on the sidelines for now.

I didn't get all the system stats done as I had hoped, but did complete my personal stuff.  I experienced a large drawdown this summer.  In late June, I was sitting pretty at +13% for the year.  Now I'm down over 11%.  I'm a bit bummed but I know there is plenty of time to get it back, especially if volatility is going to pick up.  

I'll see ya tomorrow. All the best. J

Monday, August 19, 2013

Hold 100% Cash

JTS remains short. CCI is long. The JT Composite remains parked in cash. I exited the rest of my shorts near the close and headed back to cash. So I'm back to following JT Comp signals. I'll update stats this week. They are not so pretty anymore. Plenty of time to make up for it though. See you tomorrow.

Friday, August 16, 2013

Hold signals

JTS remains on a short and CCI on a buy. So... no changes heading into the weekend. JT Comp is sidelined and I'll continue to hold my small TZA position. Thanks and have a good one!

Thursday, August 15, 2013

Unhealthy...JTS stays short.

Looked like JTS would've finally gone long today, but the market health qualifier flipped to unhealthy today (warning of a possible bigger selloff)... and the unhealthy signal today says to hold the short position. So with the JTS remaining short and the CCI long, the JT Composite will remain in cash. I will hold my partial short. I will mention that SPY's CCI value is very stretched to the downside. In the past, when it's been this stretched, the market had 1 or 2 more down days and then skyrocketed to the upside. Just FYI. See you tomorrow, thanks!

Wednesday, August 14, 2013


Jts remains short, cci long. Ill keep small short going. Thx!

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Hold signals

Hold signals will keep the jt composite system in cash. I'll hold my small short. Thx!

Monday, August 12, 2013

CCI buys. JT Comp goes back to cash.

JTS remains short but the cci goes long again after a short time on the sidelines. The jt comp heads back to cash with the opposing signals. Ill ditch a couple more shorts but not all. Thx.

Friday, August 9, 2013

Hold signals.

JTS remains short. CCI remains in cash, which keeps JT Composite 50% short. I'll keep my half-short position riding. Have a good weekend! J

Thursday, August 8, 2013

Cci sells

Jt comp moves back to 50% short as the cci sells its long position and goes cash. Jts remains short. I will hold my partial short position. Thx!

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

CCI buy signal

JTS remains short, but the CCI system is giving a buy signal. This moves the JT Composite back to a neutral stance and moves the system back to 100% cash. I'm going to ditch some of my shorts, but will keep a healthy amount until the JTS flips. Thanks!

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Still short...

All systems will hold their short signals. Thanks!

Monday, August 5, 2013

Hold signals.

Systems remain short. I'll continue to hold... thanks!

Friday, August 2, 2013

Hold signals

All systems remain short. Have a great weekend!

Thursday, August 1, 2013


Systems remain short. What else is there to do at this point but hold on... See ya tomorrow.

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Broken record...holding...

All systems remain short. Would love to see a top today, but probably not gonna happen. More fun tomorrow....

July signals....

Date JT Composite... XIV/TNAJ-TraderCCI
Jul 1 100% Short TNA19.86/47.81Short Short
Jul 2 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 3 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 5 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 8 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 9 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 10 100% Short TNA HoldHold
Jul 11 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 12 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 15 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 16 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 17 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 18 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 19 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 22 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 23 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 24 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 25 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 26 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 29 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 30 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 31 100% Short TNAHoldHold

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Holding shorts...

Nothing new to report today. Everything remains short... Thanks!

Monday, July 29, 2013


A decent down day for TNA...Need more. Fortunately, both systems will continue to hold the short position. Thanks! J

Friday, July 26, 2013


All systems remain short. I'll continue to hold. Thx!

Thursday, July 25, 2013


All systems remain short. Hopefully more downside coming... Thanks!

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Hold signals

Finally some movement in our favor. I will continue to hold. thanks!

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

No changes

All systems remain short. Broken record. See ya tomorrow. Thx!

Monday, July 22, 2013

Hold shorts

All systems remain short. Shocking, I know. I will continue to hold. Thx.

Friday, July 19, 2013

Hold signals

The relentless rally continues. All systems and I will continue holding... Thx.

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Hold signals

Nothing new to report. Just waiting for a pullback. All systems remain short. Thanks.

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Another short signal.

I'm not sure this means anything anymore, but both the JTS and CCI are giving fresh short signals today. 3rd times the charm, perhaps... I will continue to hold my short positions. Thanks!

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Hold signals

All systems remain short. I'll continue to hold. Need about 3 more weeks of this kind of action... :)

Monday, July 15, 2013


Been pretty busy here, which is a good thing right now as it keeps my mind off the current drawdown. All systems hold the short position, and I will do the same. See ya tomorrow. J

Friday, July 12, 2013


All systems remain short. Will continue to hold. Thx. Have a great weekend!

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Hold signals

What else is new. Another day, another big loss. Will continue to hold.... Thx.

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Hold signals.

Nothing new to report. Still holding my positions as all models remain short. Thx!

Tuesday, July 9, 2013


Nothing new today, beside the usual short bleed. All systems remain short. FWIW, the JTS is generating a strong short signal. I would love to be opening a short position today. I will continue to hold. Take care!

Monday, July 8, 2013

Hold signals.

I can tolerate a 1-2% loss in my TZA each day. That is somewhat ok with me in the world of trading. What kills me is how badly my UVXY is getting crunched these past few sessions. Hurts to even look.... However, I will continue to hold on for higher prices. All systems remain short... Hope the weekend went well. I had the pleasure of riding Top Thrill Dragster at Cedar Point. What a blast! Take care.

Friday, July 5, 2013

Hold signals.

Not a fun day to be short. All systems will hold their positions though, as will I. Enjoy the weekend.

Wednesday, July 3, 2013


All systems will remain short. Have a happy fourth!

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Hold signals.

All systems remain short and I will continue to hold my short positions.  Just a reminder - markets close early tomorrow at 1pm ET.  Have a good evening! 

Monday, July 1, 2013

Hold signals.

Just fired up the computer - Ouch! - I had a feeling this would happen what with bullish July 1st seasonality and $85bil/mo POMO, but ya can't always trust or trade feelings.  Both TZA and UVXY are taking a huge hit.

Systems were giving short signals a short while ago, but have reverted back to hold signals.  Either way, all systems remain 100% short.  I see no reason to deviate yet.  My guess is a few more days of strength followed by significant weakness into the 2nd weak of July.  We'll see.  Take it easy. J

Friday, June 28, 2013

Hold shorts.

Things were looking good this morning, but apparently we are back into the "buy the dip" mode.  Both JTS and CCI will remain short.  I will hold my 90% short position (60% TZA, 30% UVXY) and 10% cash. 

Thanks! June sigs...
Date JT Composite... XIV/TNAJ-TraderCCI
May 31 100% CashShort Long
Jun 3 100% CashHoldHold
Jun 4 50% Long XIV 22.23/48.39Cover Hold
Jun 5 50% Long XIVHoldHold
Jun 6 50% Long XIVHoldHold
Jun 7 100% Cash22.48/49.05ShortHold
Jun 10 100% Short TNA 22.72/49.97HoldShort
Jun 11 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jun 12 100% Cash20.00/46.95HoldLong
Jun 13 50% Short TNA20.94/49.41HoldSell
Jun 14 50% Short TNAHoldHold
Jun 17 100% Short TNA20.77/49.21HoldShort
Jun 18 100% Short TNAShortShort
Jun 19 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jun 20 50% Long TNA 18.48/45.19CoverLong
Jun 21 50% Long TNAHoldHold
Jun 24 50% Long TNAHoldHold
Jun 25 50% Long TNAHoldHold
Jun 26 50% Short TNA19.11/45.68ShortSell
Jun 27 100% Short TNA19.86/47.81ShortShort
Jun 28 100% Short TNAHoldHold
Jul 1 100% Short TNAHoldHold

Thursday, June 27, 2013

Flashing shorts!

It's one of those days for my systems.  Short signals coming from all directions!  Time to load up the truck.  JTS is generating a very robust (2nd) short signal.  CCI is flipping to short as well.  JT Comp moves to 100% Short TNA.  I'm opening a large position in TZA.  May even grab some UVXY to "diversify". :)  Take care. J

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

50% Short TNA

JTS flips to a short signal.  CCI sells its long position and heads to sidelines.  This pushes the JT Composite into a 50% short TNA position.  VIX futures are back in contango which changes the preferred short ETF from VXX back to small caps.  

I'll wait until the CCI gives a short signal (possibly tomorrow if we keep going up) before shorting.  Thanks!

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Hold signals.

Nothing new today.  CCI remains long and JTS remains sidelined.  JT Comp holds the 50% TNA for another day.  I'm still waiting patiently for my next move.  Thanks!

Monday, June 24, 2013

Hold @ 50% TNA

JTS is not interested in going long yet.  However, the CCI is giving a fresh buy signal.  With the systems in disagreement, I will maintain my cash position. This is fine w/ me as I think lower prices are in our near future. 

Friday, June 21, 2013

Hold signals.

JTS will remain in cash while CCI will hold it's long position.  JT Comp remains 50% Long TNA over the weekend.  I'm sidelined.  Have a good one!

Thursday, June 20, 2013

50% Long XIV TNA (edited )

Sold out of my shorts too soon this morning. At the time, I knew TZA would go higher and yet I ignored this knowledge in favor of some profit taking. Trading is very tricky and plays games with your head.

Very pleased to see both systems nail this move. But now the mean-reversion happy system otherwise known as the CCI is going long today. The superior JTS is not and will instead offer up a "cover" signal and head to the sidelines. So the JT Composite flips to 50% long XIV. Despite the 20%+ spike in the VIX, futures remain in a weak state of contango (just barely) thus the XIV for the long trade. If I were taking a long trade on the close, I would personally opt for TNA but that's just me. I'll be sitting this one out in cash. Another down day tomorrow would almost certainly flip the JTS long but I'm getting ahead of myself. Sit back, grab some popcorn and relax in cash for now. Take care and congrats to all the shorts!

 Edit: Vix futs slipped into backwardation after my post. System will use TNA rather than XIV for this long position. Thx.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Hold signals...

All systems remain short. I'll continue to hold my 90% TZA position. Thanks!

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Short signals

I'm seeing short signals flashing from every possible angle of each system. I'm increasing to 90% TZA today and will go 100% short on any FOMC strength tomorrow. Thanks!

Monday, June 17, 2013

100% short tna

The CCI joins the JTS on the short side today sending the JT Comp to 100% short TNA. I will take a decent sized short position around 75%. Thx!

Friday, June 14, 2013

hold signals

Jt comp remains 50% short. Thx! Have a good weekend.

Thursday, June 13, 2013

50% short

Cci sells its long position and moves to sidelines. Jts remains short. Jt comp moves to 50% short tna. I will stay on sidelines. Thx.

Wednesday, June 12, 2013

100% Cash. CCI Longs...

JTS remains short but CCI is going long. JT Composite moves to 100% Cash. I will sell my TZA and head to sidelines. Thanks!

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

100% short

All systems remain short. I'll hold my tza. Thx!

Monday, June 10, 2013

CCI shorts. JT Comp 100% Short TNA!

CCI joins the JTS on the short side. JT Comp moves to 100% Short TNA on the close. I will be taking a partial TZA position as well. Thanks!

Friday, June 7, 2013

JTS Shorts

Jts moves to a short signal but cci remains long. Neutral. Jt comp moves back to cash which is where I'll stay. I'm on vaca next week but I'll try to get signals posted on time. Thx! Good weekend.

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Hold signals

Jt comp remains 50% xiv w cci long and jts in cash. I'm sidelined. Thx!

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

No changes.

JTS has flipped to unhealthy mode and will remain in cash today.  CCI keeps holding out for a mean reversion play to the upside.  JT Comp remains 50% long XIV.  I will stay on the sidelines for now.  Thanks.

Tuesday, June 4, 2013

50% Long XIV (JTS Covers!)

After what seems like forever in the trading world, JTS finally covers the short position and heads to cash.  CCI remains long.  This configuration places the JT Comp in a 50% long XIV position.  I will remain in cash for a couple reasons:  I'm only following 100% signals and 2, I'm not sure this pullback is finished yet.   Will wait and see... Thanks and best wishes.

Monday, June 3, 2013

Hold signals.

CCI stays long, but the JTS won't flip long today (stays short).  JT Composite remains in cash.  I ditched my TZA today on weakness and I'm back once again to following the JT Comp.  I'll wait on the sidelines until the next 100% signal.  Thanks all. 

Friday, May 31, 2013

No changes...

The JTS remains short and the CCI stays long.  JT Comp remains 100% cash.  I'll hold on to my tza over the weekend.  Have a good one all!  Thanks!


May signals
Date JT Composite... XIV/TNAJ-TraderCCI
Apr 23 100% Short TNA22.88/41.21Short Short
May 1 100% Cash21.86/40.47LongHold
May 2 100% CashHold Hold
May 3 100% Cash HoldHold
May 6 50% Short TNA23.53/45.33SellHold
May 7 100% Short TNA23.76/46.40ShortHold
May 8 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 9 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 10 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 13 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 14 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 15 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 16 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 17 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 20 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 21 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 22 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 23 100% Short TNAHoldHold
May 24 100% Cash HoldLong
May 27 closed for memorial day...
May 28 100% CashHoldHold
May 29 100% CashHoldHold
May 30 100% CashHoldHold
May 31 100% CashHoldHold