3:45pm: I didn't think it would happen, but it may after all... if SPY closes above 124.71, the system moves 50% short again - expecting a short term pullback. Below or equal to 124.71, then remain on sidelines with a hold.
2:29pm: A 95% chance of a hold signal today. I will update later, but it really looks like we'll need to see a late day blast in either direction to get anything other than a hold.
For example, SPY needs to close above 124.71 to get a short signal.