Composite sidelined.

Both models will hold their respective (opposite) positions keeping the Composite system sidelined in cash. Thanks!



July Trades

Date	JT Composite	TNA	J-Trader	CCI
Jun 29	Half-Short	49.53	Hold	Short
Jul 2	Half-Short		Hold	Hold
Jul 3	Short	57.91	Short	Hold
Jul 4	Closed
Jul 5	Short		Hold	Hold
Jul 6	Cash	55.81	Hold	Long
Jul 9	Cash		Hold	Hold
Jul 10	Half-Long	53.33	Cover	Hold
Jul 11	Half-Long		Hold	Hold
Jul 12	Half-Long		Hold	Hold
Jul 13	Cash	54.08	Hold	Sell
Jul 16	Cash		Hold	Hold
Jul 17	Half-Short	54.03	Hold	Short
Jul 18	Short	55.00	Short	Short
Jul 19	Short		Hold	Hold
Jul 20	Cash	52.55	Long	Hold
Jul 23	Long	49.87	Hold	Long
Jul 24	Long		Hold	Hold
Jul 25	Long		Hold	Hold
Jul 26	Cash	49.37	Hold	Short
Jul 27	Short	53.06	Short	Short
Jul 30	Cash	52.40	Long	Hold
Jul 31	Cash		Hold	Hold

JTS Buy If...

JT System is producing a buy signal if SPY Closes 138.42 or higher. CCI will remain on a short signal regardless. JT Comp will go to cash if this is the case. The JTS will hold the short if SPY 138.41 or lower and then the Comp would remain 100% short.

Thanks!

Strong short signal...

The JTS is producing a strong short signal. CCI is producing a 2nd short signal. This puts the JT Composite system all-in short. I won't be that aggressive, but I'll take about a ~50% position in TZA leaving some powder dry just in case we see further gains heading into the 8/1 Jackson Hole meeting. See ya next week. Have a good one!

JT Comp back to cash...

JTS is holding the long position, but the CCI is going short today (premature again?)... This sends the Composite System back to all cash. I am back to cash already as my XIV position hit my sell limit order a few mins ago. A 10% gain within a few days is my magic number...an automatic sell. Just wish I would've had more than a 1/3 position...but I'll take it. In @ 11.15, out @ 12.26. Good stuff!

See ya tomorrow.

Holding longs.

The JTS is flirting with a sell signal, but it's not going to make it. So, we are looking at all 3 systems remaining long. Take care.

All systems remain long...

JTS, CCI, and JT Comp remain 100% long. I took a 1/3rd position in XIV this afternoon and will add to it tomorrow should we see more weakness. I'm expecting a rally to finish out this month, likely lasting into early August. Thanks!

Composite going 100% long.

After about a month of less than stellar performance, the CCI system finally proved its worth by holding onto the short position over the weekend. What pleases me even more is the fact I chose to hold onto a few shares of TZA believing that the CCI system was due for a win! I cashed out on the open and have been sitting in cash all day.

I'm thinking we'll see more downside over the next few days. However, now both my systems are generating long signals (the CCI is flipping to a "buy" today) and this will put the JT Composite system all-in long. No way do I have the guts to go 100% long today, but I may buy a few shares of TNA on the close. I still think there will be better prices tomorrow or Wednesday. Then again, what do I know...

The JTS, with its premature buy signal Friday, is still hanging above its half-stop loss of SPY 132.60, which is simply the swing low of 7/12/12. I would like to see us get closer to that value before I start loading up heavily on longs. Don't ask what happens to the Composite if JTS gets half stopped, because the answer is I don't know. When I created the JT Composite system and ran the stats, I completely ignored JTS stops. The thinking was that the CCI "checks and balances" the JTS, thus lessening the need for stops. So, in theory the JT Comp would stay 100% long in the event the JTS gets half stopped. I'll clarify this futher if/when we breach the 7/12 low.

Sorry for the length... Thanks for reading!

Composite back to cash...

JTS is going long here, while the CCI system is remaining short. This sends the JT Comp back to an all cash position. Nice day today. We'll see which system is right next week. See ya then!

Holding shorts ...

All 3 systems will maintain their short positions. Thx.

JTS - Short if...

The JTS (and as a result, the JT Composite also) will take a 100% short position if SPY closes 137.29 or higher. Anything below 137.29 will keep the JTS in cash and the Composite just 50% short. Thanks!

CCI going short...

The CCI system will go short if SPY closes above 135.80. The JTS will remain in cash with another hold signal. This combination moves the JT Comp system to 50% short. Have a good one.

Regards,
J

Holding cash...

Both models will continue to stand aside until there is a more defined edge. Right now it seems the market could break in either direction. The Composite system remains 100% cash.

Composite back to cash...

The CCI system is detecting an elevated level of risk and is dumping its long position as a precautionary measure. The JTS will remain on the sidelines with a hold signal. With both models out of the market, the JT Composite system is headed back to cash on the close today. The profit from this trade is a bit underwhelming though better than the alternative. Have a good weekend all! See ya back here Monday.

Half long...

The composite system will remain half long/half cash today. Both the JTS and CCI are producing hold signals. We were on pace for a strong JTS buy signal today until the persistent afternoon rally -- now there is too much risk and it will remain sidelined.

Stats have been updated. The good old JTS has taken the lead back.

See ya tomorrow!

Composite remains half long...

CCI has moved below zero which is unofficially a solid buy signal when the 21day MA is above zero. However, the JTS refuses to offer a buy signal again today, so the JTComposite System will remain just half long TNA. Despite this, I added to my long position on today's intraday dip as I am expecting a bounce in the coming days. Evidence is mounting. Thanks for reading...
-J

Composite going half long...

The JTS is finally covering its short position, although it is NOT going long yet. This is interesting that its not going long on a big down day in a healthy market. I'm not sure what to make of this except there may be more downside ahead. I mentioned SPX 1325 to 1330 should be strong gap support.

The CCI will maintain its long position. The fact that JTS is heading to the sidelines combined with CCI's long will put the JT Comp system half in the market today on the close.

Thanks!

Composite staying put...

There will be no signal changes today. Each system will hold their respective position, keeping the Composite parked in cash for at least one more day. See ya tomorrow!

Composite: Going to cash!

The JTS will hold the short position, while the CCI will flip back to long... With the 2 systems out of phase, this will put the JT Composite back to cash mode for the weekend...closing out all shorts and heading to the sidelines. Thanks and have a good weekend.

Vacation...

As our family vacation comes to a close, today is extra sweet as the stock market is finally behaving. :) We capped off the vaca with 18 holes in the TN mountains. Whether golf is a "good walk ruined" is debatable, but today was a definitely a good day on the links for me.

















Both systems are going long today. That is, barring an extraordinary rally here in the final hour. I will update confirmed signals prior to the close. Thanks.

Hold shorts.

The composite system will hold the 100% short position. JTS and CCI are both generating hold signals keeping them short. Thanks!

Short if...

If SPY closes over 137.01 the JTS goes short and the composite goes 100% short. Thx and happy 4th!

Hold signals.

The CCI is producing a 2nd short signal but the JTS will remain sidelined in cash. This will keep the composite system just 50% short. Thanks.